Where in Europe is Chrysomya albiceps? Modelling present and future potential distributions

Chrysomya albiceps (Wiedemann, 1819), a species of blowfly (Diptera, Calliphoridae), historically distributed throughout Southern Europe, has recently dispersed to cooler regions in which is an intriguing phenomenon. In this work, we used Maxent software formulate climate suitability using machine learning technique investigate fact. The bioclimatic variables that best explained the were Annual Mean Temperature (67.7%) and Range (21.4%). We found C. climatically suitable for several parts except high altitude areas like Swiss Alps. warmer countries such as Portugal, Spain Italy, entire coastal territory was most species. Future scenario models show these eastern some northern areas, increased. This increase reinforced when comparing gains losses between present-day model future models. These changes are likely caused by temperature, main explanatory factor among tested variables, suitability. As one important forensic contexts potential myiasis agent, expansion new locations cannot be neglected, its must carefully monitored.